I agree with your points. Another factor, considering that these birds are manufactured outside the US, is the likely decline in the value of the US dollar as increased dramatic fiscal stimulus is piled on top of loose monetary policy.VickersPilot wrote: ↑Tue Mar 02, 2021 8:25 pm Manufacturing input costs are rising steeply. Check Bloomberg on the topic. European Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) where a lot of the parts originate is at a 3 year high of 57.9. Input price PMI is also rising fast. I think we can expect to see continued annual price rises in all new aircraft (not just Diamond) that will help a little with depreciation.
It wouldn’t surprise me to see people paying an extra >$50k for a 2022 delivery later in the year. I don’t think the Buyer Class is the same as the SR22 - it’s very seldom for a twin to be ‘shared’ and it seems a lot of DA62 owners have the option of an SETP but for our various reasons have chosen the DA62 - I don’t think that can be said for as high a % of SR22 owners. My reason was two engines over water (Swimming is cold here!)
But the problem with inflation is everything inflates so a nominal increase in the value of something (like an aircraft) can fake us out into believing that the values of the assets we own are keeping up.
You may be right, though, that we Diamond twin owners are such a select and discerning group (and, given the Cirri are produced by the bucket load) that values will be supported and maintained compared to "commoditized" aircraft like the SR22.
I hope so, but that's not really not the driver of my decision to buy. As you note, the real comparison group for buyers of DA62s are SETP owners. I'm actually one of those but have made the decision to sell my PC-12 in favor of a plane that, for my projected future use, fits my needs better and is, I believe, "more fun".
And, I also completely agree with you about the 2nd engine. My mission is lots of flying over water (relatively warm water, but still) and, I think, this is one scenario where the relative merits of two engines versus one (with or without a chute) are clear.